THREAT LEVEL: HYPE
A composite index measuring the probability of Half-Life 3 based on verified signals, leaks, and community momentum.
SteamDB Activity
Mar 2026The mysterious 'HLX' app continues receiving frequent depot updates on SteamDB, suggesting active development.
Valve Hiring Spree
Jan 2026Multiple job listings for narrative single-player level designers and Source 2 engine programmers.
Insider Leaks
Feb 2026Project White Sands confirmed via voice actor resume. Code references found in Deadlock assets.
Gabe Newell Signals
Dec 2025Gabe confirmed multiple games in development. Recent interviews hint at 'something fans have waited for.'
Source 2 Evolution
Mar 2026Destruction physics, advanced NPC AI, and photogrammetry tools — all hallmarks of a next-gen singleplayer experience.
Community Momentum
Mar 2026r/HalfLife subreddit activity surging. YouTube analysis videos hitting millions of views weekly.
Years Since HL:Alyx
Mar 20266 years since Half-Life: Alyx. Valve's average dev cycle suggests a release window is approaching.
Industry Chatter
Nov 2025Multiple game journalists and insiders have hinted at a Valve announcement in upcoming gaming events.